Bayreuth SpVgg vs FC Augsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1975 |
SVS
2 - 0
BAY
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
BAY
2 - 0
SGF
66%
22%
13%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
VFR
1 - 5
BAY
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
BAY
2 - 2
SAA
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
BAY
2 - 1
MUN
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC Augsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1975 |
AUG
1 - 0
HOM
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
SVS
2 - 0
AUG
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
AUG
3 - 3
WWO
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1975 |
AUG
2 - 0
SGF
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1975 |
KSC
2 - 0
AUG
64%
20%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |