Bayreuth SpVgg vs Bad Kötzting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
WEI
0 - 0
BAY
17%
23%
60%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
BAY
1 - 3
GRE
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
UNT
0 - 0
BAY
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
BAY
2 - 1
BAY
79%
15%
7%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
DAR
6 - 0
BAY
51%
25%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Bad Kötzting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
BAD
1 - 1
ISM
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
NUR
1 - 1
BAD
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
BAD
2 - 2
WUR
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2006 |
TSV
3 - 3
BAD
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
TSV
2 - 0
BAD
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |