Aviron Bayonnais vs Alberes Argelès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
12º
1º
36
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 37 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 34 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
52.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 29 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 24 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aviron Bayonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BLA
0 - 0
BAY
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
BAY
4 - 1
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 3
PAU
5%
12%
83%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 1
BAY
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BAY
3 - 1
TRE
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alberes Argelès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 2
STA
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
TOU
4 - 0
FCA
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
CAS
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LEG
1 - 1
FCA
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
GDB
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |