Bayeux vs Alençon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BAY
1 - 2
OIS
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
EVR
3 - 0
BAY
73%
17%
10%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
DIE
2 - 0
BAY
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 1
BAY
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BAY
1 - 3
DIV
31%
22%
48%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ALE
2 - 1
DIV
73%
16%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AVR
0 - 3
ALE
26%
23%
51%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ALE
3 - 0
SAI
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
QUE
1 - 1
ALE
19%
21%
60%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
ALE
1 - 1
AGC
65%
18%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |