Bayeux vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
70.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
5 - 2
ALE
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
OIS
6 - 2
BAY
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 3
EVR
11%
17%
72%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
QUE
5 - 3
BAY
82%
11%
7%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 1
DIE
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MON
2 - 1
CAE
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
AVR
2 - 4
CAE
30%
21%
49%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 0
ALE
63%
18%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
OIS
1 - 3
CAE
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CAE
2 - 3
EVR
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |