UCL Group A Round 4

Bayern München vs Salzburg analysis

Bayern München Salzburg
95 ELO 80
14.1% Tilt 56.7%
General ELO ranking 527º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
91%
Bayern München
6.8%
Draw
2.2%
Salzburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.9%
Win probability
Bayern München
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.5%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.9%
2.2%
Win probability
Salzburg
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayern München
-2%
+19%
Salzburg

ELO progression

Bayern München
Salzburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayern München
Bayern München
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2020
BYM
Bayern München
1 - 1
Werder Bremen
BRE
88%
9%
3%
95 81 14 0
07 Nov. 2020
BVB
B. Dortmund
2 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
12%
16%
72%
95 90 5 0
03 Nov. 2020
RBS
Salzburg
2 - 6
Bayern München
BYM
4%
9%
88%
95 81 14 0
31 Oct. 2020
KOL
Köln
1 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
3%
7%
90%
95 77 18 0
27 Oct. 2020
LOK
Lokomotiv Moskva
1 - 2
Bayern München
BYM
3%
9%
88%
95 83 12 0

Matches

Salzburg
Salzburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Nov. 2020
RBS
Salzburg
1 - 3
Sturm Graz
STR
68%
18%
14%
81 75 6 0
08 Nov. 2020
RAP
Rapid Wien
1 - 1
Salzburg
RBS
41%
23%
36%
81 81 0 0
03 Nov. 2020
RBS
Salzburg
2 - 6
Bayern München
BYM
4%
9%
88%
81 95 14 0
31 Oct. 2020
RBS
Salzburg
5 - 0
WSG Tirol
WAT
78%
14%
8%
81 66 15 0
27 Oct. 2020
ATM
Atlético
3 - 2
Salzburg
RBS
68%
20%
13%
81 91 10 0