Regionalliga Bayern Round 4

Bayern Hof vs Greuther Fürth II analysis

Bayern Hof Greuther Fürth II
40 ELO 48
-9.7% Tilt -8.3%
4541º General ELO ranking 2112º
207º Country ELO ranking 91º
ELO win probability
29.9%
Bayern Hof
26.2%
Draw
43.9%
Greuther Fürth II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
Bayern Hof
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43.9%
Win probability
Greuther Fürth II
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bayern Hof
+61%
+1%
Greuther Fürth II

ELO progression

Bayern Hof
Greuther Fürth II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bayern Hof
Bayern Hof
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jul. 2012
ISM
Ismaning
0 - 1
Bayern Hof
BAY
53%
23%
23%
40 41 1 0
25 Jul. 2012
BAY
Bayern Hof
0 - 0
Bayern München II
BAY
32%
26%
42%
40 47 7 0
19 Jul. 2012
EIN
Eintracht Bamberg
1 - 0
Bayern Hof
BAY
39%
25%
36%
41 33 8 -1
19 May. 2012
ERB
Erlangen-Bruck
4 - 3
Bayern Hof
BAY
20%
25%
56%
41 26 15 0
12 May. 2012
BAY
Bayern Hof
4 - 1
Eintracht Bamberg
EIN
59%
22%
19%
40 33 7 +1

Matches

Greuther Fürth II
Greuther Fürth II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jul. 2012
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
1 - 0
FC Augsburg II
AUG
68%
19%
13%
48 37 11 0
25 Jul. 2012
WUR
Würzburger Kickers
2 - 2
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
26%
25%
50%
49 33 16 -1
21 Jul. 2012
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
0 - 0
Seligenporten
SEL
66%
19%
15%
49 39 10 0
18 May. 2012
GRE
Greuther Fürth II
1 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt II
FRA
28%
24%
49%
48 54 6 +1
11 May. 2012
FSV
FSV Frankfurt II
0 - 2
Greuther Fürth II
GRE
27%
25%
48%
47 35 12 +1