B. Leverkusen vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
39.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
OSN
1 - 1
LEV
86%
10%
3%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
LEV
4 - 0
IFT
91%
7%
2%
|
53 | 7 | 46 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
WAT
2 - 3
LEV
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
LEV
0 - 2
BVB
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1976 |
AAA
2 - 1
LEV
64%
22%
14%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1976 |
SWE
2 - 0
WOL
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1976 |
HSV
4 - 1
SWE
84%
11%
6%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1976 |
BVB
3 - 0
SWE
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1976 |
SWE
2 - 0
AAA
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1976 |
FCM
3 - 1
SWE
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |