B. Leverkusen vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
ROT
2 - 3
LEV
10%
19%
71%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
LEV
0 - 1
BRE
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
ROS
1 - 2
LEV
20%
24%
56%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
LEV
1 - 2
HER
61%
22%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
MSV
3 - 2
LEV
23%
24%
54%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
ROT
1 - 3
BVB
13%
20%
67%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
BVB
2 - 1
BYM
10%
16%
74%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
BVB
2 - 4
WOL
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
ARB
2 - 2
BVB
29%
26%
44%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2008 |
BVB
3 - 2
STU
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |