Bundesliga Cadete Special Stage - League A Round 3

B. Leverkusen U17 vs Mainz 05 U17 analysis

B. Leverkusen U17 Mainz 05 U17
26 ELO 22
4.3% Tilt 11%
8488º General ELO ranking 10349º
415º Country ELO ranking 496º
ELO win probability
54.5%
B. Leverkusen U17
20.9%
Draw
24.6%
Mainz 05 U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
B. Leverkusen U17
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
24.6%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U17
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
B. Leverkusen U17
-30%
+5%
Mainz 05 U17

Points and table prediction

B. Leverkusen U17
Their league position
Mainz 05 U17
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
11º
23º
11º
0
15º
24º
23º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
24º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nürnberg U17
9
9
0%
Stuttgart U17
9
9
0%
Hannover 96 U17
6
6
100%
RB Leipzig U17
6
6
0%
TSV 1860 München U17
6
6
0%
Hertha BSC U17
6
6
0%
Stuttgarter Kickers U17
6
6
0%
Chemnitzer U17
5
5
0%
Hansa Rostock U17
5
5
0%
Preußen Münster U17
21º
1
4
10º
0%
B. Leverkusen U17
10º
4
4
11º
0%
Niendorfer TSV U17
11º
4
4
12º
0%
Wolfsburg U17
14º
4
4
13º
0%
Karlsruher SC U17
13º
4
4
14º
100%
Köln U17
12º
4
4
15º
0%
Werder Bremen U17
15º
4
4
16º
0%
VfL Bochum U17
16º
3
3
17º
0%
Arminia Bielefeld U17
17º
3
3
18º
100%
Hoffenheim U17
18º
3
3
19º
100%
Eintracht Frankfurt U17
20º
3
3
20º
0%
Bayern München U17
19º
3
3
21º
0%
B. Dortmund U17
22º
1
1
22º
100%
Mainz 05 U17
24º
0
0
23º
100%
Darmstadt 98 U17
23º
0
0
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
B. Leverkusen U17
Mainz 05 U17
100% 100%

ELO progression

B. Leverkusen U17
Mainz 05 U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

B. Leverkusen U17
B. Leverkusen U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2023
WFS
Wolfsburg U17
3 - 3
B. Leverkusen U17
BLE
60%
20%
21%
25 29 4 0
07 May. 2023
BLE
B. Leverkusen U17
1 - 4
Nürnberg U17
FCN
58%
20%
22%
26 23 3 -1
26 Apr. 2023
SVD
Deutz U17
1 - 4
B. Leverkusen U17
BLE
4%
10%
86%
26 7 19 0
22 Apr. 2023
SSI
Siegen Sportfreunde U17
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen U17
BLE
5%
10%
85%
26 10 16 0
16 Apr. 2023
BLE
B. Leverkusen U17
3 - 0
Fortuna Düsseldorf U17
FOD
75%
15%
10%
25 18 7 +1

Matches

Mainz 05 U17
Mainz 05 U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 May. 2023
M05
Mainz 05 U17
3 - 4
Nürnberg U17
FCN
44%
23%
34%
24 25 1 0
07 May. 2023
M05
Mainz 05 U17
1 - 2
Wolfsburg U17
WFS
34%
23%
43%
24 29 5 0
22 Apr. 2023
M05
Mainz 05 U17
3 - 0
Darmstadt 98 U17
DAR
75%
14%
11%
24 17 7 0
15 Apr. 2023
FCS
Saarbrücken U17
0 - 3
Mainz 05 U17
M05
6%
11%
83%
24 10 14 0
02 Apr. 2023
FAW
Astoria Walldorf U17
3 - 5
Mainz 05 U17
M05
6%
12%
82%
23 10 13 +1