Bay United vs Pretoria University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
BAY
2 - 0
AKJ
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 1
BAY
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
DYN
2 - 1
BAY
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
BAY
2 - 2
EAG
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
WAR
1 - 0
BAY
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pretoria University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PRE
2 - 0
VAS
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
EAG
1 - 2
PRE
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PRE
1 - 1
CAR
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
AKJ
0 - 0
PRE
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PRE
3 - 0
BRO
63%
21%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |