Bay Olympic vs Takapuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
11º
10º
12
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 15 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 15 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bay Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
BAO
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
BAO
1 - 1
MEL
19%
19%
62%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
AFC
4 - 1
BAO
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BAO
4 - 2
WCR
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
BIR
3 - 0
BAO
90%
7%
3%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Takapuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 2
AUC
7%
15%
78%
|
19 | 56 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
TAK
2 - 5
EAS
8%
13%
79%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MUF
0 - 2
TAK
69%
16%
15%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
TAK
0 - 4
MAN
53%
20%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
HAW
1 - 0
TAK
88%
8%
4%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |