1. Liga Promotion Round 16

Bavois vs FC Paradiso analysis

Bavois FC Paradiso
48 ELO 53
12.5% Tilt 6.5%
3936º General ELO ranking 3832º
40º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
41.7%
Bavois
25.5%
Draw
32.8%
FC Paradiso

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
Bavois
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.8%
Win probability
FC Paradiso
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bavois
+20%
+24%
FC Paradiso

ELO progression

Bavois
FC Paradiso
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bavois
Bavois
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
STG
St. Gallen II
1 - 1
Bavois
BAV
35%
23%
42%
49 42 7 0
28 Oct. 2023
BAV
Bavois
0 - 2
Rapperswil
RAP
29%
24%
48%
49 56 7 0
22 Oct. 2023
YOU
Young Boys II
2 - 1
Bavois
BAV
48%
22%
30%
50 48 2 -1
18 Oct. 2023
BAV
Bavois
4 - 1
FC Zurich II
FCZ
37%
24%
40%
49 52 3 +1
14 Oct. 2023
LUZ
Luzern II
4 - 3
Bavois
BAV
63%
20%
17%
50 54 4 -1

Matches

FC Paradiso
FC Paradiso
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2023
FCP
FC Paradiso
2 - 0
Bulle
BUL
56%
23%
21%
52 46 6 0
28 Oct. 2023
KRI
SC Kriens
3 - 1
FC Paradiso
FCP
46%
26%
29%
53 51 2 -1
21 Oct. 2023
STG
St. Gallen II
1 - 2
FC Paradiso
FCP
29%
24%
47%
53 43 10 0
18 Oct. 2023
FCP
FC Paradiso
1 - 2
Rapperswil
RAP
34%
26%
41%
53 55 2 0
14 Oct. 2023
YOU
Young Boys II
0 - 0
FC Paradiso
FCP
43%
25%
32%
54 48 6 -1