Baumgarten vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
MAT
4 - 2
BAU
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 2
OST
38%
23%
38%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2010 |
SVH
1 - 0
BAU
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
BAU
1 - 1
FCW
27%
26%
47%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
SCH
2 - 0
BAU
51%
25%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
WUR
3 - 2
FCW
21%
25%
53%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
WUR
3 - 2
ZWE
44%
23%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
OST
2 - 1
WUR
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
WUR
2 - 1
WIE
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +3 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SVH
3 - 0
WUR
78%
15%
8%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |