Baumgarten vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
35%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2006 |
RAP
0 - 0
BAU
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
BAU
1 - 0
EIS
40%
24%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
KRE
5 - 1
BAU
66%
20%
15%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2002 |
BAU
0 - 5
EIS
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
NEU
0 - 1
BAU
66%
20%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
WUR
1 - 2
SCH
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2006 |
WIE
0 - 0
WUR
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2006 |
FCW
1 - 2
WUR
58%
22%
21%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2006 |
WUR
1 - 3
SCH
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2006 |
KRE
3 - 1
WUR
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -2 |