Baumgarten vs Drassburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baumgarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2012 |
STM
2 - 1
BAU
36%
23%
41%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
BAU
5 - 5
JEN
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
FCW
2 - 2
BAU
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
BAU
6 - 0
GUS
80%
13%
8%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
SCO
1 - 4
BAU
19%
23%
58%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Drassburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
DRA
6 - 3
JEN
63%
19%
18%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
GUS
1 - 2
DRA
19%
22%
59%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
DRA
2 - 3
MAR
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 2
DRA
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
DRA
3 - 1
HOR
58%
21%
22%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |