FA Trophy . Quarter-finals
Global 5-4
Bath City vs Dover Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
DOV
3 - 3
BAT
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
WHI
2 - 1
BAT
32%
26%
42%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
EAS
0 - 1
BAT
35%
26%
39%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
BAT
1 - 0
ALT
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
BAT
2 - 1
STA
69%
19%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Dover Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
DOV
3 - 3
BAT
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
DOV
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
DOV
1 - 0
WOK
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
WOK
3 - 3
DOV
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
DOV
2 - 0
WRE
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |