Bath City vs Billericay Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
OXF
2 - 0
BAT
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BAT
3 - 2
WIN
65%
20%
14%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
YEO
3 - 0
BAT
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
BAT
1 - 2
DOR
43%
25%
31%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
HUN
0 - 1
BAT
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Billericay Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
BIL
0 - 2
TON
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 2
BIL
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
BIL
2 - 0
BOR
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
WEL
2 - 0
BIL
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BIL
2 - 1
BRA
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |