Bath City vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bath City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BAT
3 - 0
AVE
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
WEY
1 - 5
BAT
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GUL
1 - 0
BAT
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BAT
0 - 2
WOR
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
BAT
3 - 0
TAU
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
BEA
3 - 1
HAR
75%
14%
11%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BEA
1 - 2
WIN
51%
22%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BEA
1 - 3
POO
25%
22%
54%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 2
BEA
26%
23%
51%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
BEA
1 - 2
GOS
40%
24%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |