De Bataven vs Alverna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Bataven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
DIE
1 - 4
DEB
38%
21%
42%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
DEB
2 - 3
RKH
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SJC
3 - 0
DEB
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
DEB
1 - 3
SIL
56%
22%
23%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
WOE
0 - 0
DEB
54%
20%
26%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ALV
1 - 0
JOS
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ALV
3 - 0
HOL
40%
25%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
RKH
1 - 1
ALV
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALV
2 - 2
MSC
38%
24%
38%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VVH
0 - 0
ALV
49%
22%
30%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |