Copa Paulista 1st Round Round 5

Batatais vs Ferroviária analysis

Batatais Ferroviária
54 ELO 63
-10.3% Tilt -7.2%
10708º General ELO ranking 1160º
440º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
25.5%
Batatais
25.8%
Draw
48.6%
Ferroviária

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
Batatais
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48.6%
Win probability
Ferroviária
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Batatais
+3%
+8%
Ferroviária

ELO progression

Batatais
Ferroviária
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Batatais
Batatais
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jul. 2016
BAT
Batatais
1 - 1
São Carlos
SAO
46%
26%
28%
54 52 2 0
17 Jul. 2016
MAT
Matonense
1 - 3
Batatais
BAT
37%
24%
39%
54 50 4 0
09 Jul. 2016
COM
Comercial
1 - 0
Batatais
BAT
39%
27%
34%
54 51 3 0
03 Jul. 2016
BAT
Batatais
0 - 1
Rio Claro
RIO
38%
27%
35%
55 57 2 -1
01 May. 2016
MIR
Mirassol FC
2 - 0
Batatais
BAT
63%
21%
15%
56 66 10 -1

Matches

Ferroviária
Ferroviária
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jul. 2016
FER
Ferroviária
5 - 0
Matonense
MAT
66%
21%
13%
62 49 13 0
16 Jul. 2016
FER
Ferroviária
0 - 0
Comercial
COM
62%
23%
16%
63 52 11 -1
10 Jul. 2016
RIO
Rio Claro
0 - 0
Ferroviária
FER
30%
27%
43%
63 57 6 0
13 May. 2016
FLU
Fluminense
3 - 0
Ferroviária
FER
74%
17%
9%
63 80 17 0
05 May. 2016
FER
Ferroviária
3 - 3
Fluminense
FLU
16%
22%
62%
63 81 18 0