Bastion vs Obolon II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
NYV
2 - 2
BAS
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2008 |
BUK
1 - 0
BAS
37%
29%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2008 |
BAS
2 - 1
DYK
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
NYV
4 - 1
BAS
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Obolon II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
OBO
1 - 0
KAR
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2008 |
FCV
2 - 0
OBO
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2008 |
OBO
0 - 3
NAF
61%
22%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2008 |
OBO
1 - 2
DYN
72%
18%
11%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2008 |
KOR
0 - 1
OBO
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |