Bastion vs Sumy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 1
POL
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
NYV
2 - 5
BAS
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
BAS
2 - 0
SST
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
ENK
3 - 1
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
BAS
0 - 0
DYK
55%
23%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sumy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
SUM
1 - 0
YED
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
NYV
0 - 2
SUM
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SUM
3 - 0
FCV
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
SST
3 - 2
SUM
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
SST
3 - 1
SUM
46%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |