Bastia U19 vs Saint-Etienne U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
67.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
7º
12º
8º
38
2º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
84% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 40 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
42% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
77% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
77% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
BEZ
21%
20%
59%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
BAS
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 2
MON
8%
13%
79%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OLY
2 - 1
BAS
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
5 - 0
BLA
63%
18%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Saint-Etienne U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ETI
0 - 0
AJA
62%
20%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ETI
3 - 1
TOU
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEZ
1 - 1
ETI
25%
21%
53%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ETI
1 - 0
NIC
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
ETI
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |