Bastia II vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AGD
2 - 2
BAS
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
5 - 1
FAB
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NIM
4 - 1
BAS
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
OLY
4 - 1
BAS
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SCR
4 - 0
BAS
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
ILE
68%
17%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
EVI
0 - 0
SPO
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 2
ANN
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BOR
1 - 1
SPO
32%
23%
45%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 2
AUB
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |