Bastia II vs Hazebrouck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 1
MAR
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 3
BAS
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 1
CHA
48%
24%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
AAC
0 - 0
BAS
56%
23%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 2
SAI
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Hazebrouck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
HAZ
1 - 0
GRA
42%
25%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
HAZ
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
HAZ
3 - 0
DIV
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 1
HAZ
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
HAZ
1 - 2
OIS
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |