Bastia II vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CLE
1 - 1
BAS
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 1
VIE
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FEU
4 - 0
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 1
CSL
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AJA
0 - 3
BAS
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
BOU
2 - 0
CSL
62%
21%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 0
BOU
36%
25%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
BOU
0 - 2
AND
37%
28%
35%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BOU
2 - 0
SAI
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SUD
1 - 2
BOU
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |