Bastia Calcio vs Sporting Trestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PIE
0 - 2
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 3
CAS
26%
23%
51%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 2
BAS
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 2
SCA
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 2
FLA
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Trestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 2
CAS
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
TOD
1 - 2
SPO
30%
25%
45%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 2
DER
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
PIA
1 - 0
SPO
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 2
SPO
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |