Bastia Calcio vs AS Deruta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VOL
0 - 0
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
VIT
29%
26%
46%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 1
BAS
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 0
SPO
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
PIE
0 - 2
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AS Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
DER
1 - 3
CAS
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
TOD
1 - 2
DER
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
DER
3 - 0
FIE
56%
23%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PIA
5 - 2
DER
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 1
DER
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |