Bastendorf vs Minerva Lintgen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
BWM
4 - 1
BAS
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
ALI
1 - 0
BAS
71%
17%
13%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 2
MER
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
ORA
3 - 1
BAS
26%
22%
52%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 2
STE
65%
19%
17%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Minerva Lintgen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MLI
1 - 0
MER
68%
19%
14%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
MLI
6 - 0
ORA
74%
17%
10%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MLI
4 - 1
STE
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 0
MLI
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MLI
0 - 3
DIF
8%
14%
78%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |