Bastendorf vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
61.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 2
ATE
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
BAS
5 - 4
KEH
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
BOE
2 - 2
BAS
14%
16%
70%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FCA
4 - 1
BAS
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 2
MLI
22%
24%
54%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
LOR
3 - 1
MAR
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
STE
0 - 1
LOR
21%
20%
59%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 1
ALI
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
WIN
2 - 6
LOR
38%
21%
41%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LOR
0 - 2
KEH
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |