Bastendorf vs Lorentzweiler analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
37%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 1
BAS
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 0
RES
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 3
BAS
52%
21%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
KEH
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BOE
0 - 2
BAS
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Lorentzweiler
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 0
WIN
60%
21%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ORA
1 - 2
LOR
37%
24%
40%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LOR
2 - 0
JEU
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 2
MAR
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 0
LOR
66%
19%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |