Bassecourt vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
43.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
15º
13º
32
10º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 61 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 60 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 57 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 56 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 36 |
9º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 35 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 29 |
14º
|
66.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassecourt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BLA
2 - 1
BAS
80%
13%
8%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
BAS
2 - 3
MUN
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
MUT
4 - 1
BAS
77%
13%
10%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 2
RTK
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 0
EMM
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
THU
2 - 3
SOL
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
EMM
1 - 5
THU
27%
21%
52%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
THU
2 - 1
FCM
73%
15%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CON
4 - 2
THU
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCC
3 - 1
THU
44%
22%
35%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |