Bassecourt vs Moutier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassecourt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
BAS
32%
23%
44%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
ALL
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FCC
2 - 1
BAS
24%
23%
54%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
COL
3 - 2
BAS
18%
21%
61%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 2
FCT
83%
11%
5%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MOU
2 - 1
ALL
60%
21%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
COL
0 - 4
MOU
22%
21%
58%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
FCT
0 - 5
MOU
14%
18%
68%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
NEX
5 - 0
MOU
83%
12%
5%
|
28 | 68 | 40 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LYS
5 - 3
MOU
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -2 |