Lega Pro Round 1

Bassano Virtus vs SPAL analysis

Bassano Virtus SPAL
39 ELO 60
4.1% Tilt -7.4%
4720º General ELO ranking 2165º
162º Country ELO ranking 72º
ELO win probability
19.4%
Bassano Virtus
24.4%
Draw
56.2%
SPAL

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
Bassano Virtus
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
56.2%
Win probability
SPAL
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bassano Virtus
+14%
-14%
SPAL

ELO progression

Bassano Virtus
SPAL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bassano Virtus
Bassano Virtus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2010
CAR
Carrarese
2 - 1
Bassano Virtus
BV5
15%
25%
60%
39 23 16 0
02 May. 2010
BV5
Bassano Virtus
1 - 1
Pro Vasto
PRO
66%
20%
14%
40 33 7 -1
25 Apr. 2010
FCC
FC Celano Marsica
0 - 2
Bassano Virtus
BV5
32%
27%
41%
39 31 8 +1
18 Apr. 2010
BV5
Bassano Virtus
2 - 0
Fano
FAN
52%
23%
25%
37 39 2 +2
11 Apr. 2010
SAN
Sangiustese
0 - 2
Bassano Virtus
BV5
36%
25%
39%
37 29 8 0

Matches

SPAL
SPAL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Aug. 2010
SPA
SPAL
2 - 3
Trapani
TRA
65%
21%
14%
59 49 10 0
25 Jul. 2010
PAR
Parma
3 - 1
SPAL
SPA
74%
17%
9%
60 81 21 -1
09 May. 2010
USF
Calcio Foggia
0 - 3
SPAL
SPA
47%
27%
26%
58 60 2 +2
02 May. 2010
SPA
SPAL
2 - 3
Progreditur Marcianise
REA
47%
28%
25%
59 57 2 -1
25 Apr. 2010
REG
Reggiana
0 - 1
SPAL
SPA
49%
26%
25%
58 60 2 +1