Bassano Virtus vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
64.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FER
3 - 0
BV5
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 1
BV5
45%
27%
29%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BV5
0 - 0
ABN
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PAD
1 - 0
BV5
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
BV5
1 - 2
VNZ
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 2
ANC
81%
14%
5%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
PAD
1 - 2
PAR
28%
27%
46%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 0
MAC
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ASG
1 - 4
PAR
15%
23%
62%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
FAN
82%
14%
4%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | -1 |