Bassano Virtus vs Mori Santo Stefano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
3.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
11º
4º
15
14º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
15 | 15 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ADB
1 - 0
BV5
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BV5
0 - 3
SDA
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 0
BV5
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BV5
2 - 2
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 3
BV5
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mori Santo Stefano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MSS
0 - 2
SAN
12%
20%
69%
|
16 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 1
MSS
46%
22%
33%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MSS
0 - 3
ADB
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MSS
1 - 3
SDA
8%
14%
78%
|
17 | 47 | 30 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
MSS
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | 0 |