Bassa vs Parham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bassa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
EGF
1 - 2
BAS
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 2
WIL
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 2
SEA
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 1
SAP
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
HOP
2 - 1
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Parham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
WIL
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
EGF
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 1
PBU
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
ALL
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SAP
0 - 5
PAR
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |