Basra vs Al Simawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2004 |
BFC
1 - 1
MIS
35%
26%
38%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
BFC
1 - 2
ALM
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
NAS
1 - 1
BFC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
ALZ
1 - 1
BFC
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
JAI
1 - 0
BFC
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Al Simawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 0
ALS
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2004 |
ALS
2 - 2
NAS
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
ALS
0 - 1
ALN
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
ALS
0 - 1
MOS
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
ALS
0 - 1
ALM
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |