Basra vs Al Jaish analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
ARB
3 - 0
BFC
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
BFC
2 - 2
ALS
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
BFC
0 - 0
SFC
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2002 |
ALT
3 - 1
BFC
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
ALN
1 - 0
BFC
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Al Jaish
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
JAI
1 - 0
ALN
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
JAI
0 - 0
KFC
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2002 |
ALS
1 - 0
JAI
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2002 |
JAI
1 - 1
ZAK
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2002 |
KAR
2 - 0
JAI
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |