BASK vs Zemun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
60.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PAD
1 - 1
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
JED
0 - 0
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 0
STV
43%
27%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PRV
0 - 3
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BUD
0 - 0
BAS
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Zemun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ZEM
2 - 0
STV
70%
20%
11%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PRV
1 - 3
ZEM
15%
22%
63%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ZEM
2 - 2
BUD
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 3
ZEM
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
JSP
1 - 4
ZEM
13%
21%
67%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |