Non League Div One Isthmian Norte. Jor. 38

Basildon United vs Heybridge Swifts analysis

Basildon United Heybridge Swifts
20 ELO 29
-11.7% Tilt 3.3%
8954º General ELO ranking 7533º
477º Country ELO ranking 366º
ELO win probability
26.2%
Basildon United
23.9%
Draw
49.9%
Heybridge Swifts

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
Basildon United
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.9%
Win probability
Heybridge Swifts
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Basildon United
-22%
-14%
Heybridge Swifts

Points and table prediction

Basildon United
Their league position
Heybridge Swifts
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
13º
60
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lowestoft Town
78
82
92.5%
Bury Town
74
78
46.5%
Felixstowe & Walton Utd
74
78
29.5%
Bowers and Pitsea
73
77
28.5%
Brentwood Town
72
76
54.5%
Walthamstow
62
65
53.5%
Heybridge Swifts
60
63
42.5%
Brightlingsea Regent
57
60
49.5%
Basildon United
52
55
28.5%
Gorleston
10º
50
53
10º
33.5%
East Thurrock United FC
20º
0
53
11º
3%
Maldon & Tiptree
11º
49
52
12º
28.5%
Wroxham
12º
48
51
13º
34%
Redbridge
13º
47
50
14º
37%
Witham Town
14º
45
48
15º
52.5%
New Salamis
15º
35
38
16º
69%
Grays Athletic
16º
33
36
17º
66.5%
Ipswich Wanderers
17º
29
30
18º
89%
Enfield FC
18º
22
22
19º
97.5%
Stowmarket Town
19º
6
6
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Basildon United
Heybridge Swifts
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Basildon United
Heybridge Swifts
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Basildon United
Basildon United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2024
STO
Stowmarket Town
3 - 4
Basildon United
BAS
13%
18%
69%
21 11 10 0
16 Apr. 2024
BAS
Basildon United
0 - 1
Brentwood Town
BRE
16%
21%
63%
22 37 15 -1
13 Apr. 2024
BAS
Basildon United
1 - 2
Bowers and Pitsea
BOW
14%
19%
66%
23 39 16 -1
09 Apr. 2024
RED
Redbridge
1 - 0
Basildon United
BAS
52%
22%
27%
24 26 2 -1
06 Apr. 2024
GOR
Gorleston
3 - 3
Basildon United
BAS
48%
23%
30%
24 25 1 0

Matches

Heybridge Swifts
Heybridge Swifts
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2024
HEY
Heybridge Swifts
0 - 1
Wroxham
WRO
62%
20%
19%
30 24 6 0
13 Apr. 2024
BRI
Brightlingsea Regent
2 - 2
Heybridge Swifts
HEY
49%
23%
28%
30 30 0 0
09 Apr. 2024
WAL
Walthamstow
5 - 1
Heybridge Swifts
HEY
34%
25%
41%
33 26 7 -3
06 Apr. 2024
HEY
Heybridge Swifts
0 - 0
Redbridge
RED
64%
19%
17%
33 25 8 0
01 Apr. 2024
HEY
Heybridge Swifts
1 - 0
Maldon & Tiptree
MAL
69%
17%
14%
32 24 8 +1
X