Non League Div One Isthmian Norte. Jor. 28

Basildon United vs Bury Town analysis

Basildon United Bury Town
26 ELO 38
-11% Tilt 0.3%
8864º General ELO ranking 6265º
476º Country ELO ranking 296º
ELO win probability
21.7%
Basildon United
22.3%
Draw
55.9%
Bury Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
Basildon United
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
55.9%
Win probability
Bury Town
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Basildon United
-22%
+94%
Bury Town

Points and table prediction

Basildon United
Their league position
Bury Town
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
13º
74
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lowestoft Town
78
82
92.5%
Bury Town
74
78
46.5%
Felixstowe & Walton Utd
74
78
29.5%
Bowers and Pitsea
73
77
28.5%
Brentwood Town
72
76
54.5%
Walthamstow
62
65
53.5%
Heybridge Swifts
60
63
42.5%
Brightlingsea Regent
57
60
49.5%
Basildon United
52
55
28.5%
Gorleston
10º
50
53
10º
33.5%
East Thurrock United FC
20º
0
53
11º
3%
Maldon & Tiptree
11º
49
52
12º
28.5%
Wroxham
12º
48
51
13º
34%
Redbridge
13º
47
50
14º
37%
Witham Town
14º
45
48
15º
52.5%
New Salamis
15º
35
38
16º
69%
Grays Athletic
16º
33
36
17º
66.5%
Ipswich Wanderers
17º
29
30
18º
89%
Enfield FC
18º
22
22
19º
97.5%
Stowmarket Town
19º
6
6
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Basildon United
Bury Town
Promotion
0% 2.5%
Promotion play-offs
0% 97%
Mid-table
100% 0.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Basildon United
Bury Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Basildon United
Basildon United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2024
IPS
Ipswich Wanderers
2 - 1
Basildon United
BAS
24%
21%
55%
28 20 8 0
20 Mar. 2024
ENF
Enfield FC
0 - 3
Basildon United
BAS
20%
21%
59%
27 18 9 +1
09 Mar. 2024
BAS
Basildon United
2 - 1
Grays Athletic
GRA
64%
20%
16%
27 20 7 0
27 Feb. 2024
WAL
Walthamstow
4 - 2
Basildon United
BAS
42%
24%
34%
31 30 1 -4
20 Feb. 2024
BAS
Basildon United
2 - 1
Maldon & Tiptree
MAL
42%
24%
34%
31 31 0 0

Matches

Bury Town
Bury Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2024
BOW
Bowers and Pitsea
1 - 0
Bury Town
BUR
38%
26%
36%
39 37 2 0
16 Mar. 2024
BUR
Bury Town
2 - 1
New Salamis
NSA
77%
14%
9%
39 23 16 0
09 Mar. 2024
WHI
Witham Town
0 - 2
Bury Town
BUR
22%
22%
56%
38 26 12 +1
02 Mar. 2024
BUR
Bury Town
4 - 3
Ipswich Wanderers
IPS
76%
14%
10%
39 22 17 -1
28 Feb. 2024
GOR
Gorleston
0 - 3
Bury Town
BUR
28%
23%
50%
39 31 8 0
X