Bashley vs Tiverton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
67.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 1
SHO
8%
17%
75%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
YAT
2 - 0
BAS
84%
12%
5%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 0
CIN
16%
22%
62%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | +5 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
AFT
4 - 0
BAS
93%
6%
2%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
BAN
8 - 0
BAS
86%
10%
3%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Tiverton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BUR
4 - 0
TIV
17%
23%
59%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
AFT
2 - 2
TIV
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
TIV
2 - 0
AFT
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
YAT
0 - 1
TIV
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
TIV
2 - 2
BUR
80%
14%
6%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -1 |