Bashley vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2007 |
TIV
1 - 0
BAS
22%
26%
53%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
HEM
1 - 1
BAS
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 1
BED
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 1
TIV
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 0
BAS
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
SWI
1 - 1
CIR
62%
23%
16%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
HIT
0 - 1
SWI
46%
26%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
SWI
0 - 2
CHI
30%
27%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Dec. 2007 |
COR
0 - 2
SWI
43%
26%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
SWI
4 - 3
BAN
50%
26%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |