Non League Div One Southern S & W Round 18

Bashley vs Swindon Supermarine analysis

Bashley Swindon Supermarine
45 ELO 40
6% Tilt 1.6%
11353º General ELO ranking 8785º
653º Country ELO ranking 407º
ELO win probability
56.9%
Bashley
22.3%
Draw
20.8%
Swindon Supermarine

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
Bashley
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.8%
Win probability
Swindon Supermarine
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bashley
-8%
-33%
Swindon Supermarine

ELO progression

Bashley
Swindon Supermarine
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bashley
Bashley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2006
BEA
Beaconsfield
1 - 3
Bashley
BAS
27%
24%
49%
43 31 12 0
18 Nov. 2006
WEF
Windsor & Eton FC
1 - 2
Bashley
BAS
41%
25%
34%
42 40 2 +1
15 Nov. 2006
NEW
Newport Isle of Wight FC
0 - 2
Bashley
BAS
19%
25%
56%
42 24 18 0
11 Nov. 2006
BAS
Bashley
6 - 0
Oxford City
OXF
53%
23%
25%
40 39 1 +2
04 Nov. 2006
AND
Andover
0 - 0
Bashley
BAS
27%
24%
49%
41 29 12 -1

Matches

Swindon Supermarine
Swindon Supermarine
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2006
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
1 - 2
Newport Isle of Wight FC
NEW
75%
17%
9%
42 21 21 0
18 Nov. 2006
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
2 - 1
Bracknell Town FC
BRA
59%
23%
19%
41 35 6 +1
14 Nov. 2006
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
0 - 0
Windsor & Eton FC
WEF
46%
25%
29%
41 40 1 0
28 Oct. 2006
AFH
AFC Hayes
0 - 1
Swindon Supermarine
SWI
23%
24%
53%
41 25 16 0
17 Oct. 2006
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
1 - 0
Marlow FC
MAR
44%
25%
31%
40 40 0 +1