Bashley vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BEA
1 - 3
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
WEF
1 - 2
BAS
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
NEW
0 - 2
BAS
19%
25%
56%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
BAS
6 - 0
OXF
53%
23%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
AND
0 - 0
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 2
NEW
75%
17%
9%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
SWI
2 - 1
BRA
59%
23%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
SWI
0 - 0
WEF
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
AFH
0 - 1
SWI
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 0
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |