Bashley vs Stourbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
76.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 3
COR
12%
18%
71%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
FRO
1 - 2
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
WHI
5 - 0
BAS
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
STA
2 - 0
BAS
85%
11%
5%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAM
7 - 1
BAS
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
STO
0 - 3
BID
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
WHI
1 - 1
STO
19%
22%
59%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2014 |
STO
2 - 1
BED
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
STO
1 - 1
HIT
70%
17%
13%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
STN
1 - 1
STO
24%
22%
54%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |