Bashley vs Stourbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
GLO
3 - 0
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 0
BAN
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
CHI
2 - 3
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
1 - 3
HAL
34%
27%
39%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 1
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 2
STO
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
STO
6 - 1
CLE
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
MER
4 - 1
STO
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
STO
0 - 2
COR
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2008 |
STO
1 - 1
BAN
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |