Bashley vs Paulton Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
11º
7º
47
1º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
88 | 88 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 74 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
50 | 50 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 49 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
48 | 48 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
47 | 47 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
46 | 46 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
43 | 43 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
42 | 42 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
42 | 42 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
34 | 34 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
27 | 27 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CIN
1 - 2
BAS
12%
16%
73%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
WUN
2 - 1
BAS
15%
16%
69%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 0
AFT
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
LAR
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Paulton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PAU
3 - 2
FRO
25%
21%
54%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
PAU
3 - 2
BID
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WIM
3 - 2
PAU
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PAU
2 - 4
LAR
83%
11%
5%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 3
PAU
40%
23%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |