Bashley vs Paulton Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
BAS
7 - 0
WIN
75%
15%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
MIL
0 - 3
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 2
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
HAN
1 - 4
BAS
16%
21%
63%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 0
SWI
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paulton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
PAU
3 - 0
TAU
36%
26%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
PAU
0 - 1
UXB
53%
25%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
PAU
3 - 3
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
PAU
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
NEW
0 - 1
PAU
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |